It is almost guaranteed that everyone living in the U.K has complained about the weather in their lifetime. From sunny blue skies one minute to hailstones and thunderstorms the next, the weather in the UK certainly keeps us guessing.
May has given us a wide variety of weather conditions, which left us wondering, is this likely to continue throughout the summer? And if so, where are the most unpredictable districts in Wales located?
Interested in this, SaveOnEnergy.com/uk collected historical monthly climate observations from the UKCP09 (UK Climate Predictions) for June, July & August*. The five climate variables analysed include: sunshine hours, rainfall, average temperature, wind speed and relative humidity. Each variable was then ranked and totalled to find a total unpredictability/volatility score out of 10 for each district – with a score of 10 being the most unpredictable and 1 being the most predictable.
Key Points:
- The Welsh district with the most unpredictable summer weather is Torfaen.
- Blaenau Gwent is second on the list with a total score of 7.72 out of 10.
- Cardiff ranks seventh with a total score of 6.90 out of 10.
Please see the blog post for a breakdown of each Welsh district: https://www.saveonenergy.com/uk/unpredictable-summer-weather-in-wales/
Top 10 districts with the most unpredictable summer weather:
|
Ranked Unpredictability |
|||||||
Rank |
Name |
Country |
Rainfall /10 |
Relative humidity /10 |
Wind Speed /10 |
Sunshine /10 |
Temperature /10 |
Total /10 |
1 |
Torfaen |
Wales |
9.77 |
8.73 |
9.24 |
9.55 |
2.72 |
8 |
2 |
Blaenau Gwent |
Wales |
9.69 |
9.07 |
9.8 |
7.13 |
2.89 |
7.72 |
3 |
Monmouthshire |
Wales |
9.12 |
8.03 |
8.59 |
8.23 |
2.97 |
7.39 |
4 |
Rhondda Cynon Taf |
Wales |
9.97 |
8.96 |
7.89 |
9.07 |
0.3 |
7.24 |
5 |
Caerphilly |
Wales |
9.88 |
8.87 |
7.16 |
8.7 |
1.06 |
7.13 |
6 |
Newport |
Wales |
8.28 |
8.42 |
6.32 |
9.32 |
2.94 |
7.06 |
7 |
Cardiff |
Wales |
9.24 |
8.23 |
6.01 |
9.88 |
1.12 |
6.90 |
8 |
Swansea |
Wales |
8.93 |
7.35 |
8.93 |
7.3 |
0.42 |
6.59 |
9 |
Merthyr Tydfil |
Wales |
9.8 |
9.29 |
6.51 |
6.65 |
0.64 |
6.58 |
10 |
Isle of Anglesey |
Wales |
4.2 |
9.41 |
8.51 |
10 |
0.02 |
6.41 |
SaveOnEnergy.com/uk can reveal that the area of Wales with the most unpredictable summer weather is Torfaen, with a total unpredictability score of 8 out of 10. The Welsh district had unpredictable rainfall (9.77), windspeed (9.24) and sunshine (9.55).
Coming second on the list of Welsh districts with the most unpredictable summer weather is Blaenau Gwent. The Welsh district received a final score of 7.72 out of 10 after receiving high scores for both rainfall (9.69) and windspeed (9.8).
Monmouthshire comes third, with an average unpredictability score of 7.39 out of 10 overall. The districts highest ranking variable was rainfall (9.12) which was among the highest in this category.
Rhondda Cynon Taf comes fourth, having been awarded especially high unpredictability scores when it came to sunshine (9.07) and rainfall (9.97). This resulted in an average total unpredictability score of 7.13 out of 10.
Completing the top five, with a total score of 7.13 out of 10 is Caerphilly. Despite having unpredictable rainfall (9.88), Caerphilly’s temperatures remain consistent, scoring just 1.06 for unpredictability in this category.
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