PROPECTS OF WALES’ GOVERNANCE WITHIN THE UK IN THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.

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By Cllr W Gwyn Hopkins

 

The current position is largely captured by the following table of the Tory Cabinet:

 

MEMBERS OF PRIME MINISTER THERESA MAY’S CABINET; JULY 2016

 

NAME POSITION HELD CONSTITUENCY Country of Constituency COMMENT
Theresa May Prime Minister Maidenhead England Since 13/7/16
Philip Hammond Chancellor of the Exchequer Runnymead & Weybridge England  
Boris Johnson Foreign Secretary Uxbridge & South Ruislip England  
Amber Rudd Home Secretary Hastings & Rye England  
David Davies Minister for exiting the EU Haltenprice & Howden England ER Yorkshire
Liam Fox International Trade North Somerset England  
Michael Fallon Defence Secretary Sevenoaks England  
Damien Green Work & Pensions Ashford England  
Priti Patel International Development Witham, Essex England  
Justine Greening Education (England only) Putney England  
Chris Greling Transport (England only) Epsom & Ewell England  
Greg Clark Business & Energy Tunbridge Wells England  
James Brokenshire Northern Ireland Old Bexley & Sidcup England  
Jeremy Hunt Health (England only) South West Surrey England  
Sajid Javid Local Government (England) Bromsgrove England  
Liz Truss Justice Minister (Eng & Wal) South West Norfolk England  
Karen Bradley Culture/Media/Sport (Eng) Staffordshire Moorlands England  
David Mundell Scotland Dumfries/Clydesdale Scotland  
Andrea Leadsom Defra (England only) South Northamptonshire England Envi/food/RA
Gavin Williamson Chief Whip South Staffordshire England  
Patrick McLaughlin Duchy of Lancaster Derbyshire Dales England  
David Gauke Chief Secretary of Treasury South West Hertfordshire England  
Alun Cairns Wales Vale of Glamorgan Wales  
David Lidington Leader of the Commons Aylesbury England  
Natalie Evans Leader of the Lords   Lives in Walford, England Baroness
         

 

 

The 25-Member Cabinet is, of course, easily the most powerful and influential political body in the UK.

The table shows that 22 of the 24 Tory MPs in the Cabinet (92%) represent constituencies in England (English MPs – for short), with the 331-Member Conservative Parliamentary Party having 319 English MPs (96%).  Even the current Parliamentary Labour Party has 89% of English MPs (206 out of 232).  Moreover, implementation of the constituency boundary changes proposed by the UK Government today will mean that Wales’ House of Commons representation will soon reduce from the present “tiny” (40 out of 650 MPs – 6.2%) to “miniscule” (29 from 600 – 4.8%)

The prospects of Labour winning a Westminster General Election depends – to a very large extent – on whether or not it can substantially increase the number of its Scottish MPs from the current 1 to somewhere near the 41 it had before the 2015 General Election (of course, this is impossible in the – not unlikely – event of Scotland soon becoming Independent).  This is irrespective of the current disarray within the Labour Party (and how it will “pan out”).  The current strength of the SNP is such that Labour is highly unlikely to gain many of the 40 seats it lost to them in 2015 any time soon.  Without its Scottish MPs Labour would have won only 3 General Elections since WW 2!

The constituency boundary changes announced today will also harm Labour’s chances of regaining power.

For Wales this will very likely mean continuous Tory Government for quite a long time, which means being governed by an enormous majority of English Tory MPs – in the Parliamentary Party and the Cabinet.

 

WHAT A PROSPECT!!

 

Although a small number of people in Wales already realise this, is there any prospect that it will at last “dawn on” an increasing number of them?  The exclusively pro-Unionist media certainly won’t alert them to it.

It is, therefore, imperative for those of us who despise English Tory Rule (now so overwhelming) to publicise – continually and by every means possible – the fact that: The only choice for the people of Wales is now

 

LONG-TERM ENGLISH TORY RULE or HOME RULE

Gwyn Hopkins 13/9/2016


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