(Data) Treble winner stats vs Man City: Do City have what it takes?

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By http://www.mancity.com/, Fair use, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=51208953

This week Manchester City humiliated Real Madrid by 4-0, advancing them to the UEFA Champions League Final. In the past, seven teams have won the historic European Treble, and Manchester City could soon be joining them if they win the Champions League, Premier League and FA Cup.

Interested in this, football expert SeatPick compared current season match data for Man City to that of the previous Treble winners to see if the side has what it takes to join the ranks. 

Highlights from the research:

  • Statistics show Man City are performing above average in all areas compared to previous Treble winners.
  • They’ve played the cleanest this season compared to previous winners, receiving an average of 1.27 yellow cards and 0.04 red cards per game on average compared to the average across Treble winners.
  • Despite having five games left to play, they’ve won almost 75% of their matches this season, higher than the average of previous Treble winners.
  • They’ve scored more goals per game (2.6) than the average of previous Treble winners (2.56). 

Man City vs Previous Treble Winners:

   Averages per Game   
TeamSeasonMatches AnalysedYellow CardsRed CardsGoals ScoredWin %% of Games with Yellow Card% of Games with Red Card
Barcelona2014/15:601.680.102.9283.3%80.0%6.7%
Bayern München2012/13:471.430.062.7483.0%74.5%4.3%
Bayern München2019/20:521.480.103.0682.7%69.2%5.8%
Manchester City (until: 18/05/2023)2022/23561.270.042.6173.2%66.1%3.6%
Average Across Treble Winners(excluding Manchester City)  1.750.142.5672.1%79.6%8.3%
Barcelona2008/09531.910.192.6666.0%83.0%11.3%
Inter2009/10:512.530.271.8062.7%98.0%13.7%
Manchester United1998/99:511.490.122.1854.9%72.5%7.8%
  • Despite having five matches left to play this season, Man City have won almost 75% of their games, which is above average compared to previous Treble winners, putting them in good stead so far.
  • In the current season, Man City have played the cleanest compared to previous Treble winners as they’ve had the lowest average number of yellow cards (1.27) and red cards (0.04). 66% of games they’ve played this season have had at most one yellow card, which compared to previous winners, is the lowest too.
  • Only 3.6% of games they’ve played this season have had a red card, which is again the lowest compared to other Treble winners.
  • They’ve scored an average of 2.6 goals per game, which is higher than both Inter and Manchester United’s goals tally when they won the Treble.  
  • Assuming Man City don’t play dirty and win their next five games, these stats suggest that Man City have a promising chance of winning the Treble this season.

Should they win the Treble, it would put manager Pep Guardiola on a similar level to Man United’s legendary manager Alex Ferguson who helped them win the Treble back in 1999. This would only create more rivalry between fans of the two sides, but how do City measure up compared to Man United?

Comparing Manchester City to Manchester United’s 1998-99 victory:

  • Man City currently have received an average of 1.27 yellow cards per game compared to United’s 1.49 yellow cards.
  • Man United received more average red cards per game (0.12) than City (0.04)
  • Man City have scored more goals per game on average (2.61) than United (2.18)
  • Currently, City has won over 73% of their games this season, compared to United’s 54% when they won the Treble.
  • This season, Man City have played the cleanest compared to United back in their Treble winning season. 66% of City’s games have had a yellow card compared to United’s 72.5% and only 3.6% of Red Cards have been awarded to City this season compared to United’s 7.8%. 

Credit to https://seatpick.com/ who commissioned the data and provided the above post.


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